Joe
DiNapoli, author of the highly acclaimed fibonacci
book, Trading with DiNapoli Levels has
developed new trading software that allows you to
draw his D-Levels directly on your Genesis Charts
and of course includes all his indicators customized
in several templates. See examples of these charts
below in the slide presentation of the Advanced Fibonacci
Analysis.
Kevin Riordan and Danielle Bourbeau are
proud to be listed as Experts in using Joe DiNapoli's
strategies on his Proprietary Traders Forum at FibTrader.com
In addition, Kevin Riordan is the author and analyst
providing the audio/video Newsletter, D-Levels Financial
Forecast. The subscription cost is $59 monthly. However,
clients trading with Kevin and Danielle receive the
newsletter free.
The Newsletter is a great way to quickly learn Joe's
strategies and provides detailed market analysis on
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and more... Complete your information below for a
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clients one-on-one using Joe's strategies and provide
tech support to all of his software.
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alerts to clients and update our daily hotline with
specific trade recommendations including specific
entry, stop loss and logical profit objectives (LPOs)
using Joe's strategies.
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Market Timing excerpt from Joe Dinapoli
courtesy of Esignal is presented below.
Joe's book, Trading With DiNapoli Levels,
goes into greater detail on the exact calculations
he uses for the MACD and Stochastics and how to apply
these indicators in trading.
"The methodology I am about to describe is designed
to address the problem of entering a market with utmost
safety and minimal risk. I believe the money in a
trade is made upon proper entry. If you enter right,
you’re likely not to be stopped out before it goes
your way. If you enter in the right direction but
at the wrong price, you’re gone before the market
goes your way.
To set the stage for this unconventional trading strategy,
certain assumptions must be agreed to about the way
markets behave. If you don’t agree with the assumptions,
the methodology will not make sense, and you should
not use it. Also, I would expect anyone attempting
to employ these strategies to have a minimum of one
year of experience actively trading. A three-year
minimum is preferred. You should also have a working
knowledge of the conventional use of the Stochastic
and MACD indicators.
The reason for this can be summed up by those of you
old enough to have heard Jack Benny play the violin.
He knew how to play the violin UNconventionally to
get the results he wanted because he knew how to play
the violin conventionally -- very well.
The assumptions we will start with are:
- Markets are in run-away trends infrequently.
- Markets consist of a series of actions and measurable
reactions.
- Buying or selling breakouts is a dangerous way
to trade.
- Buying dips in an up trend and selling rallies
in a down trend is a much safer way to trade.
- Using predefined profit objectives ensures a high
percentage of winning trades.
If you agree with 1 and 2, you can see
why points 3, 4 and 5 are valid.
Rules regarding the use of the DiNapoli Preferred
Stochastic and DiNapoli MACD indicators (included
in the eSignal and Genesis applications):
- I use the DiNapoli Preferred Stochastic and DiNapoli
MACD as trend-defining tools only. I do not
use them as overbought / oversold oscillators or
momentum indicators. The DiNapoli Detrended Oscillator,
also pre-programmed in eSignal, Genesis and CQG,
can be used for that analysis and is far more effective.
- An up trend signal in either indicator is given
by the fast (blue) line penetrating the slow (black)
line from below. A sell signal is given by the fast
line penetrating the slow line from above. The position
of the lines is unimportant in the scale of the
indicators, but the angle of the penetration is
significant. The sharper the angle, the closer to
90 degrees, the better for determining the quality
of the subsequent trend.
- eSignal, Genesis and CQG have gone to considerable
trouble to make available to you the correct formulas
and numerical inputs to make these studies effective.
Many years of development have gone into their development.
Change them at your own risk.
The idea behind this pair of studies is
pretty straightforward. The DiNapoli MACD is the strong
trend-defining indicator, and the DiNapoli Preferred
Stochastic, deliberately weakened, defines counter-trend
rallies. As an example, take the down trend defined
by the MACD as shown in Chart 1. The blue line does
not penetrate the black line. Additionally, we have
a rally as defined by the Stochastic. This rally takes
place in the context of the down trend. The movement
up is confined by a DiNapoli level (Fibonacci retracement
level), where we are permissioned to sell because
the MACD has maintained a down trend.
In practice, the DiNapoli Preferred Stochastic is
a great aid in determining which retracement level
to choose when initiating the entry. You can see that,
even if the DiNapoli MACD slow line were penetrated
slightly by the fast line, the angle of penetration
would be nothing close to 90 degrees. As long as the
retracement level holds the market, you can hold the
trade. If the retracement level is penetrated but
the down trend remains intact, you can still hold
the trade!
Intel corp. is shown in Chart 2. The time frame is
30 minutes although all commonly used time frames
will work. The method is also applicable to all liquid
markets, Forex, equities, futures…you name it! Chart
2 shows two dips (buying opportunities). These were
presented by traditional “sell” signals on the Preferred
Stochastic while the DiNapoli MACD up trend remained
intact.
Chart 3 is a 5-minute emini. Both buy and sell signals
are shown using the same methodology. Researching
the effectiveness of this approach in the past can
be tricky because the study updates in real time,
and what you see on a historical chart is the past
with the study calculated on the close of the bar
rather than every segment of the bar as it is built
by each tick. Point A, for example, on the Preferred
Stochastic gave a “buy” signal in real time.
The strategy becomes even more effective when one
crosses time frames in markets that are thrusting
and in which only shallow retracements are available.
You could, for example, sell all 5-minute DiNapoli
Preferred Stochastic “traditional buy signals” when
the half-hour DiNapoli MACD is pointing down on a
sell. The possible combinations are almost endless,
which is another plus of the methodology. You won’t
be doing what your fellow eSignal user is doing unless
he/she picks the exact time frames and retracements
you choose to act on. Your stops will not be clustered
because the stop loss is either a function of a more
distant retracement, or the DiNapoli MACD in the time
frame of your choice has gone against you. This, of
course, assumes you can handle that risk according
to money management parameters.
Once positioned in the trade, you should then choose
an appropriate logical profit objective as typically
defined by expansion analysis.
Booking profits while interacting with markets “safely”
by hitting reactions appropriately within a trend
is what this methodology is all about.
Disclaimer. The information contained herein
is subject to change without notice and was obtained
from sources believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed
as to accuracy or completeness. Those using these
materials for trading purposes are responsible for
their own actions. No guarantee is made that trading
signals or methods of analysis will be profitable
or will not result in losses. It should not be assumed
that performance will equal or exceed past results.
MF Global and their affiliates do not endorse any trading
system or method and cannot vouch for and are not responsible for the content or accuracy of
the information provided by registered CTAs or system developers on their web sites.
MF Global has not reviewed or verified the performance results of any third party
provider and does not recommend any specific third party provider.
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